Main Report C: Pandemic scenarios Ngā āhuatanga o temate urutā Home Reports Main Report Appendices C: Pandemic scenarios Listen Report Menu Main Report Part One: Preliminaries Acknowledgements 01 Commissioners’ foreword 02 Summary – our lessons and recommendations 03 About the Inquiry 04 About the report 05 Pre-pandemic Aotearoa New Zealand: an overview 06 Preliminaries Endnotes Part Two: Looking back Introduction 1.0 A snapshot of Aotearoa New Zealand's pandemic experience 1.1 Timeline of key events 1.2 Aotearoa New Zealand's COVID-19 experience 1.3 Some key international comparisons 1.4 Aotearoa New Zealand's pandemic experience - Endnotes 2.1 All-of-government preparations and response 2.2 Context: the state of Aotearoa New Zealand’s pandemic preparedness and emergency management arrangements before COVID-19 2.3 What happened: governance and decision making structures 2.4 What happened: pandemic strategy and tools 2.5 What happened: public information and communication 2.6 Our assessment 2.7 What we learned looking back 2.8 Endnotes 3.1 Lockdowns 3.2 What happened 3.3 Our assessment 3.4 What we learned looking back 3.5 Endnotes 4.1 Keeping the country closed: border restrictions and quarantine 4.2 What happened 4.3 Our assessment 4.4 What we learned looking back 4.5 Endnotes 5.1 The health system response 5.2 Health system preparedness 5.3 What happened: activating public health and infection control measures in response to COVID-19 5.4 What happened: preparing the wider health system to cope with COVID-19 cases 5.5 What happened: provision of non-COVID-19-related healthcare during the pandemic 5.6 Our assessment of the outcomes and impacts 5.7 What we learned looking back 5.8 Endnotes 6.1 Economic and social impacts and responses 6.2 What happened: economic impact and responses 6.3 Our assessment: economic impacts and responses 6.4 What happened: social sector impacts and responses 6.5 What happened: social impacts and responses 6.6 The social and economic 'long tail' 6.7 What we learned looking back 6.8 Endnotes 7.1 Vaccination 7.2 What happened 7.3 Our assessment 7.4 What we learned looking back 7.5 Endnotes 8.1 Mandatory measures 8.2 What happened: testing, contact tracing, and masking requirements 8.3 Our assessment: testing, contact tracing and mask requirements 8.4 What happened: Vaccination requirements 8.5 Our assessment: Vaccination requirements 8.6 Controversy over compulsory measures 8.7 What we learned looking back 8.8 Lessons - Endnotes 9.1 Taking stock 9.2 The story of the response 9.3 Moving on Part Three: Moving Forward 10.1 Lessons for the future 10.2 The context for our lessons for the future 10.3 Lessons for the future 10.4 Endnotes 11.1 Recommendations 11.2 Introduction 11.3 In brief: what the recommendations say 11.4 Complete table of recommendations Appendices A: An overview of legislation, emergency plans, systems and structures supporting the COVID-19 response A.1 Legislation A.2 Emergency plans A.3 All-of-government systems and structures A.4 Human rights frameworks A.5 Endnotes B: An epidemiological overview of COVID-19 in Aotearoa New Zealand B.1 Introduction B.2 Data and methods B.3 Cases, hospitalisations and deaths across 2020 to 2022 B.4 Stringency of public health and social measures B.5 Vaccination rates B.6 Additional COVID-19 deaths and YLLs had New Zealand not pursued an elimination strategy, or not vaccinated B.7 Close ups of 2020 and 2021: cases and hospitalisations, alert levels and key policy events B.8 Case, hospitalisation and death rates by socio-demographic groups B.9 Endnotes C: Pandemic scenarios C.1 Purpose and audience C.2 Generic or ‘Agent X’ pandemic scenarios C.3 Examples of future pandemic scenarios C.4 Endnotes D: Vaccine coverage and population immunity – key considerations for lifting pandemic measures D.1 Purpose D.2 What do we mean by population immunity? And why does it matter? D.3 Data inputs to estimate population immunity D.4 In summary D.5 Implications for the next pandemic D.6 Supplementary information D.7 Endnotes Glossary Main report Download report | 17 MB C.1 Purpose and audience Find out more C.2 Generic or ‘Agent X’ pandemic scenarios Find out more C.3 Examples of future pandemic scenarios Find out more C.4 Endnotes Find out more Previous Next